Somalia vs Guinea: prediction & betting odds 5 September 2025

The Matchday 7 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Somalia and Guinea will take place on September 5 at the Nelson Mandela National Stadium in Kampala, Uganda. Somalia vs. Guinea: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Referee

Patrice Mebiame (Gabon)

Matches – 7 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 14%.

Betting tips 5 September 2025

The upcoming fixture will be Somalia’s third in 2025. They have already met Guinea in the current qualifying campaign for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, playing out a goalless draw, and that game showed that both sides struggled with chance conversion.

It appears that Somalia have almost no chance of reaching the World Cup finals. Ranked 200th in the FIFA Rankings with four rounds to go, they cannot qualify automatically, and they are 11 points off the second play-off spot. Somalia have only one point on the board, which came from that meeting with Guinea. Their last victory in any match came back in December 2019, when Somalia beat Burundi (1:0), who are now ranked 139th in the world.

Guinea sit much higher at 81st, but they are underperforming in this qualifying campaign and are second-bottom in Group G. They are six points clear of Somalia but they are five points adrift of Mozambique. It is obvious for Guinea that the home draw with the underdog was a missed opportunity. Now they must play away, albeit not in Somalia itself but at a neutral venue in Uganda.

This year Guinea have played five away matches and won only one, against Niger (1:0). That scoreline, or a goalless draw, has occurred in four of those fixtures, so we are confidently backing Total Under 2.5 and Double Chance. Somalia still have plenty of work to do before they can start winning again.

Betting prediction
Guinea to win or draw + Total Under 2.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
18/25
Bet now

Somalia vs Guinea Odds

CAF World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Somalia
25.03.25
Botswana
Somalia
L
21.03.25
Guinea
Somalia
D
10.06.24
Somalia
Botswana
L
07.06.24
Mozambique
Somalia
L
21.11.23
Somalia
Uganda
L
16.11.23
Algeria
Somalia
L
More matches
Guinea
25.03.25
Uganda
Guinea
L
21.03.25
Guinea
Somalia
D
10.06.24
Guinea
Mozambique
L
06.06.24
Algeria
Guinea
W
21.11.23
Botswana
Guinea
L
17.11.23
Guinea
Uganda
W
More matches

H2H: Somalia — Guinea

CAF World Cup
21.03.25
Guinea
Somalia

Group stage

WC Qualification Africa: Group G
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Algeria
  -:- 5:1 1:2 3:1 3:1 7 6 0 1
19:7
18
2
Uganda
1:2   4:0 1:0 1:0 -:- 7 4 0 3
10:7
12
3
Mozambique
0:2 3:1   -:- -:- 2:1 7 4 0 3
10:15
12
4
Guinea
-:- 2:1 0:1   -:- 0:0 7 3 1 3
7:5
10
5
Botswana
1:3 -:- 2:3 1:0   2:0 7 3 0 4
10:11
9
6
Somalia
-:- 0:1 -:- 0:3 1:3   7 0 1 6
3:14
1

Team lineups


Y. Ali
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Ahmed Abdullahi Abdi
df. 0 0
Ali Mohammed Omar
df. 0 0
Mohamed Omar
mf. 0 0
Ali Adem Musse
fw. 2 0
Substitutes
0 0
Abdiwali Abdirahman Mohamed
df. 0 0
Ayman Mohamed Hussein
df. 0 0
Fahad Fussad Mohamed
df. 0 0
Abdulsamed Ahmed Abdullahi
mf. 4 0
Abdulrahman Mohamoud Sharif
mf. 0 0
Ahmed Mohamed Ahmed Osman
fw. 0 0
Farhan Mohamed Ahmed
fw. 0 0
Mukhtar Suleiman
fw. 0 0
Guinea

Souleymane Camara
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Moussa Camara
gk. 0 0
Dembo Sylla
df. 5 0
Mouctar Diakhaby
df. 2 0
Antoine Conté
df. 1 0
Abdoulaye Touré
mf. 6 0
Mory Konaté
mf. 1 0
Alhassane Bangoura
mf. 0 0
Ousmane Camara
mf. 0 0
Salifou Soumah
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Ibrahim Koné
gk. 4 0
Soumaïla Souwandy Sylla
gk. 2 0
Sékou Oumar Sylla
df. 4 0
Haladj Madiou Keïta
df. 0 0
Mohamed Soumah
df. 0 0
Ibrahima Camará
mf. 0 0
Yadaly Diaby
fw. 2 0
Algassime Bah
fw. 0 0

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Andy H
Andy H
Site Manager
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